The Century of Transition: The Decline of the U.S. Dollar as the Global Hegemon (2025–2125) The trajectory of a global reserve currency is rarely a straight line; it is a slow arc that follows the rise and fall of empires. Just as the Dutch Guilder gave way to the British Pound, and the Pound eventually yielded to the U.S. Dollar in the wake of world wars, the 21st and 22nd centuries are poised to witness a fundamental restructuring of global trust. Over the next 100 years, the U.S. Dollar (USD) is likely to face a "long sunset"—a transition from an unrivaled hegemon to a regional player in a multipolar world. I. The Cracks in the Foundation (Years 1–20) The first two decades of this century are defined by fragmentation . For the last 80 years, the world operated on a "hub-and-spoke" model with the U.S. at the center. Today, that center is fraying. The Weaponization of Finance: The turning point in historical textbooks may well be the early 2020s. By using the do...
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